Research
Main research areas
Improving decision-making for drought management in a changing climate
Climate extremes are increasing globally. Our objective is to connect climate signals (e.g. altera), water management approaches, and human responses to assess the different components of the socio-economic and environmental drought risks (accounting for hazard, exposure and vulnerability), to finally improve drought resilience.
Developing transition pathways to sustainability in water-energy-food-land systems
California, and many other agricultural regions in the world, face important water challenges. Transitioning to sustainable groundwater use, restoring freshwater ecosystems, and the impacts of climate extremes are expected to reduce water availability for agriculture. As a result, farmland might need to transition to other uses, with important effects on food production, energy needs, and land use. Understanding how all these systems interact, and the potential trade-offs, is essential for developing smart transition pathways.
Identifying equitable policies for economic and environmental resilience
Understanding legal and institutional frameworks is essential for identifying and developing policies that increase water and environmental resilience. Our research group tries to respond to policy-relevant research questions, focusing on economic approaches, but recognizing that there is a need to develop equitable and efficient policies that ensure fair transitions to sustainability.
Research tools and approaches
Economic modeling for socio-environmental systems
Our research group specializes in integrating the human dimension in socio-environmental systems. Specifically, we employ hydro-economic models and agricultural production models to assess the socio-economic consequences of water allocation policies and infrastructure investments.
Data science
We use data science approaches to understand and analyze environmental problems. In today’s world, data is widely available, and statistical and machine learning approaches help synthesizing many problems. We also focus on developing open-code approaches for economic analysis.
Science for action
Academia, industry, and policy makers have different objectives, incentives, and timelines. To bridge these gaps is important to improve communication, engagement and collaboration. We use an explicit approach of stakeholder engagement and knowledge co-production as a key element to define research questions, obtain feedback and co-develop products, and achieve greater impact.
Current research projects
Refining Multi-Sectoral Drought Hazard Indicators Oriented to Assess Drought Impacts
The objective of this project is to refine the sector-specific drought hazard indicators for four sectors (cities, small communities, agriculture and the environment) and all hydrologic regions in California, with the objective of linking drought hazard indicators with impacts. The project, that will build upon the results of the completed project “Linking Indicators of Drought Hazard to Multi-Sectoral Impacts: An Application to California”, will complete the statewide data gathering to refine and apply the framework to obtain multi-sectoral drought hazard indicators for all sectors and hydrologic regions in California, while defining relevant sectoral impacts that will orient the definition of the hazard indicators.
COEQWAL: Equitable Stewardship of California’s Water in a Changing Climate
The objective of the project is to launch a user-driven framework for water planning that leverages existing models used to operate California’s major water supply systems. An overarching goal is to empower end-users, including those historically excluded from decision making. COEQWAL will follow a structured, participatory process to identify user-defined objectives and design alternative operational scenarios using CalSim3, the water resources planning model used to operate infrastructure throughout California’s Sacramento-San Joaquin River System. The project will produce a novel library of scenarios for water system operations under a wide range of climate futures, and will evaluate tradeoffs and synergies among end-user objectives and share results with accessible language and state-of-the-art visualization tools.
Securing a Climate Resilient Water Future for Agriculture and Ecosystems through Innovation in Measurement, Management, and Markets
Our long-term goal is to evaluate and enable water trading for climate resilience in agricultural and ecological systems in the Southwestern US. We will engage in research, extension and education activities to achieve the following supporting objectives: 1) improve access to information on current water use and future climate conditions; 2) improve and integrate water and environmental measurements to inform management decisions; 3) evaluate novel water management strategies to buffer against drought conditions; 4) examine and understand potential barriers and benefits of water trading markets for system flexibility while ensuring equitable solutions; 5) work with growers, irrigation districts, and ecosystem managers to adopt and adapt climate resilience strategies; and 6) train a next generation of transdisciplinary practitioners versed in climate adaptation science and complex systems problem solving.
A Drought Impact Assessment Dashboard for California’s Agricultural Systems and Communities
In this project we: 1) employ a suite of models to examine the economic impacts of droughts through yearly multi-disciplinary assessments, 2) establish a web-based dashboard for agencies at various levels, academics and other stakeholders to identify drought vulnerabilities from surface water supply forecast and mapping of the local water supply portfolios including groundwater to quantify a wide range of economic impacts, and 3) based on the technical analysis provide policy recommendations.
Completed research projects
- Linking Indicators of Drought Hazard to Multi-Sectoral Impacts: An Application to California (2020 – 2022)
- Incentivizing Climate-Smart Farmland Transitions in the San Joaquin Valley (2020 – 2023)
- A Drought Assessment Tool for Washington State Agriculture (2020 – 2021)
- Urban-Ag Partnerships: Increasing Urban Resiliency in Southern California and Easing the Transition to Groundwater Sustainability in the San Joaquin Valley (2019 – 2020)
- Accounting for California’s Water (2015 – 2016)